Bu-lat-lat (boo-lat-lat) verb: to search, probe, investigate, inquire; to unearth facts

Vol. VI, No. 5      March 5 - 11, 2006      Quezon City, Philippines

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News Analysis

Will the AFP Remain Loyal to the Commander-in-Chief?

The immediate issue that confronts many AFP men today appears to be a question of trust in the commander-in-chief whose office has been fogged up by election fraud, jueteng (numbers game) and other charges. Perhaps what keeps the organization intact despite the cracks that widen by the day is the chain of command, but this is now tarnished even more by the questionable integrity of many generals.

By Edmundo Santuario III
Bulatlat

Embattled President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo was forced to lift Proclamation 1017 late last week not only because of the widespread resistance against it even from her own political allies but also because prolonging it would further solidify the unification of anti-Arroyo opposition forces. In the first place, the proclamation was devoid of any moral and legal grounds because it exposed itself as the president’s own coup to keep herself in power and its enforcement was carried out principally by military and police generals who had allegedly supported her own plot to steal the presidency in the 2004 elections.

While it placed the country under a constitutionally-indefensible “state of emergency” allowing the president to use martial law powers against the Left and certain military elements on the pretext of preempting a coup conspiracy, the proclamation unveiled what now appears to be a deeply-divided armed forces involving not only junior officers but also the top brass. Macapagal-Arroyo and her political minions may now realize that although in the long haul the regime’s main security threat is the armed Left and its growing mass base it now faces the “clear and present danger” coming from her own armed forces.

The analysis given by a retired military official in two interviews with Bulatlat paints a grim scenario to the president as commander-in-chief. The source confirmed reports that a group of generals and junior officers had planned to join the mass rallies on Feb. 24 marking the 20th anniversary of the 1986 people power uprising that toppled the Marcos dictatorship. The move was apparently a withdrawal of support for the president – albeit without bloodshed - that would in turn involve, based on the Bulatlat source’s estimate, 70 percent of the AFP. Apparently, based on claims by the presidential spokesman, the “coup plot” was thwarted leading to the arrest of one of its alleged young core leaders, Brig. Gen. Danilo Lim, a West Point-trained commanding officer of the Army’s elite Scout Rangers Regiment. Lim, some accounts said, was to ask the AFP chief, Gen. Generoso Senga, to lead the withdrawal of support but the latter took Lim in his custody instead.

Army chief

The source said it was Army chief Lt. Gen. Hermogenes Esperon, and not Senga, who was calling the shots to abort the “coup.” Other alleged ring leaders, including the Philippine Marines commander and a colonel, were sacked but only to result in a tense standoff at the Marines headquarters south of Manila.

Expect these events, the source said, to be followed by a crackdown and a repositioning of leadership in the AFP. Unfortunately, this will only further empower certain generals who are know to be loyal to the president only because they helped her get elected in 2004, he said. This however will further fuel military unrest particularly among many junior officers.

The AFP is an institution that continues to reek of corruption and its top brass picked often based not on service performance or seniority but on loyalty to the president. Corruption and patronage politics thus continue to cause frustration among many junior officers as well as the rank and file soldiers. Widespread grievances remain unheeded despite complaints procedures that have been established or tough reforms that had been recommended by various investigation commissions to address corruption, promotions system, soldiers’ salary and other problems.

A matter of trust

The immediate issue that confronts many AFP men today however appears to be a question of trust in the commander-in-chief whose office has been fogged up by election fraud, jueteng (numbers game) and other charges. Perhaps what keeps the organization intact despite the cracks that widen by the day is the chain of command, but this is now tarnished even more by the questionable integrity of many generals.

Given all these and the fact that the restiveness seethes by the day, can the president still count on the AFP to support her?

As the military arm of government, the AFP continues to perform its task to suppress popular rebellions even if this results in human rights violations and the curtailment of civil liberties. Since Marcos, the AFP has also served as the main power base of the president without which the latter cannot last a day.

Idealism

Yet, historically also, some of its men have embraced idealism that is expressed either in misguided military adventurism or, in the tradition of some of its braver young officers and soldiers who had gone underground to fight the government, in patriotism. Some have left the service out of frustration. The typical soldier comes from a poor family who, given the correct social consciousness, can be capable of turning his gun against the powers-that-be. A growing number of men exposed to people’s politics and dissatisfied with elite rule now increasingly realize the need for genuine reform or, in the short term, in replacing the powers-that-be with a civilian-based transition council.

In the long run, any talk about reforming the AFP should be inspired not by the need to make it into an effective reactionary tool of repression but by the broader vision of reforming the society. It is correct to always place the military under civilian authority – but civilian authority should be equated not with the supremacy of a tyrant but with the sovereign will of the people as a whole. Bulatlat

 

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© 2006 Bulatlat  Alipato Publications

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